Digit Contract EV Calculator

Inspect expected value and recovery exposure for a digit contract. Free to use, no account required.

Tools/Deriv research/Digit EV

Digit Contract EV Calculator

Expected value depends on the return quoted for the exact account, contract, barrier, and stake. Enter total payout including returned stake.

Observed win rate%Stake$Total payout / stakexStakes per seriesRecovery multiplierx

Expected value per contract

$-0.08

Break-even win rate

54.20%

Full-series cash exposure

$3.18

Recovery does not change a negative expected value into a positive one. It changes the distribution and increases tail loss.

Not sure which automation suits you?

Answer four quick questions and we will suggest where to start, with the reasons.

These tools provide mathematical estimates and planning aids, not financial advice or guarantees. Broker specifications, prices, regulations, and prop-firm rules can change. Verify the relevant official source before risking money.